Author: Marlowe Clark

May 2020 report demonstrates slowdown

The California Association of Realtors (CAR) released their May sales and price report on June 16th, and the numbers are showing a definite slowdown. Existing single family home sales totalled 238,740 in May, down 13.9% from April and down 41.4% from last May. The median home price was $588,070, a drop of 3% from April and 3.7% from last year. May also saw a year-to-date statewide home sale decrease of 12.9%. The Bay Area seems to have been hit the hardest. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic was California home sales falling to the lowest level since the Great Depression.

The good news is that May was probably the worst of it. The market shows signs of recovering, especially buyer demand shooting up from record lows. One county, Del Norte, even reported a year-over-year increase in sales, and 31 reported a year-over-year increase in prices. Interest rates are also down from last year.

Interested in data for your area? You can find the full table of statistics at https://www.car.org/aboutus/mediacenter/newsreleases/2020releases/may2020sales, and you can also call or email us for more information.

Photo by Adeolu Eletu on Unsplash

Expanded rent control to appear on 2020 ballot

It’s no secret that California has a problem with rent prices and rental availability. Which solution to pick remains controversial. Rent control is the most immediate solution, but is a stopgap measure that can potentially do more harm than good over long periods. Building more affordable housing is a more permanent solution, but is a long-term plan with vocal opponents.

Currently, rent control is governed by the Costa-Hawkins Rental Housing Act, which prohibits rent control for housing units with a single title or that were first occupied on or after February 1, 1995. Proposition 10 appeared on the ballot just two years ago, seeking to repeal Costa-Hawkins and give more control to individual cities. The measure didn’t pass. Seeing the response to Prop 10, a new initiative, the Rental Affordability Act, decided to meet opponents halfway. Rather than entirely repeal Costa-Hawkins, this new measure seeks to amend it with a sliding timescale of 15 years, rather than a fixed year of 1995, to prevent the number of homes qualifying for rent control from remaining static.

Increasing the number of available rental units is a more appealing solution. It takes time and effort, though. California’s legislature has already adjusted laws regarding zoning, parking and landlord conduct, but it hasn’t been enough. Builders also need to do their part to make these plans a reality, and residents often oppose plans to build large, multi-family residences that could potentially decrease average home value in the area.

If you have any questions about rent control or finding a rental property or tenant, call or email us. We’d be happy to help!

Photo by Gabrielle Henderson on Unsplash

More: https://journal.firsttuesday.us/2020-ballot-initiative-seeks-to-expand-rent-control-in-california/71958/

Impact of COVID-19 on current market

As of June 10, while the California housing market has started to recover, it appears that recovery is slowing, not speeding up. California officially entered the recession in February, and we’ve come a long way since then, but there’s still plenty more to go.

Average home sales per day decreased in the second week of June following a modest increase in the first week, and the overall trend has been downward. Pending listings are still going up, but by less than 3% in 3 of the prior 4 weeks before June 10. New listings have been mostly flat. Two-thirds of buyers are expecting to get lower prices than they’re getting, and more of them are backing out because of financial considerations, despite high demand.

On the bright side, sellers are more optimistic. 40% of sellers believe it is a good time to sell, up from 29% in May, though still far below the pre-crisis level of 60% or more. Sellers recognize that while buyers may not have the funds they wanted, they’re still looking to buy. More buyers are applying for mortgages while mortgage forbearance has dropped from almost 1.1 million in mid-April to only 34 thousand in early June, and home showings are finally above the levels in 2019 and still going up.

Recovery has certainly slowed, but we’re going in the right direction. Now is a good time for both buyers and sellers. Call or email us and we’ll discuss business.

Photo by Frank Busch on Unsplash

More: https://www.car.org/knowledge/pubs/newsletters/newsline/covid61020

Home offices now in high demand

As I’m sure you already know, the lockdowns from COVID-19 have resulted in many workers needing to resort to working from home — potentially as many as 40%. This means that workers want a space in their home to work comfortably, something many homeowners and especially renters don’t have. Spaces not designed to be a home office can be inefficient or distracting, leading to lower productivity, so extra space for a home office is increasingly becoming a priority for buyers’ next purchases.

A survey by Zillow asked people working from home what their current configuration is and how it would affect future purchasing decisions. The survey found that only a third of those working from home have a dedicated home office space, and two-thirds needed to reconfigure existing rooms. Respondents’ top reasons to consider buying a new home were either a dedicated office space or just more space in general, letting other historically popular considerations like location and price fall by the wayside. Even after the pandemic ends, buyers are are looking to make their next purchase futureproof. Sellers and construction companies are also noticing the trend.

Are you also looking for dedicated office space or extra rooms for your next home? Does your own home fit the bill, and you want to sell? Whether you’re buying or selling, we can find a match for you. Call or email us!

Photo by Roberto Nickson on Unsplash

Housing Recovery Will Take Both Time and Action

According to a recent poll of readers of the Real Estate journal First Tuesday, the most optimistic recovery date from the current recession is late 2020, with 30% of respondents hopeful for a quick rebound. A quarter of respondents believe that recovery will be tied to a COVID-19 vaccine, which is predicted to arrive no earlier than mid-2021. 45% don’t expect recovery until 2022.

Benjamin Smith of First Tuesday agrees that a COVID-19 vaccine is important to recovery, but warns that there are other aspects at play. Real Estate as a business does depend heavily on in-person interactions, even though much of the work can certainly be done online or via email, and lockdowns have, without a doubt, slowed down business. Smith is careful to note, however, that the market was already on a downturn before COVID-19 hit, merely speeding up and exacerbating an impending recession. Two important factors in the downturn were falling inventory and insufficient construction.

While a vaccine can help open up agents, buyers, and sellers to safely meet up and discuss business, the underlying causes still need to be addressed, and people will need time and government intervention to recover their finances. This places recovery almost certainly later than mid-2021, and very likely further out. Fortunately, low interest rates mean buyer purchasing power will be relatively high once they regain their financial stability, meaning home prices aren’t likely to suffer as long as interest rates remain low.

Photo by Jens Behrmann on Unsplash

More: https://journal.firsttuesday.us/the-votes-are-in-housing-market-slated-for-a-late-recovery/71917/

What You Should Know About Credit Inquiries

Any time your credit report is reviewed, a credit inquiry is automatically added to your report. Your personal credit report lists all these inquiries for two years. There are two main types of credit inquiries: a hard inquiry, also called a hard pull, and a soft inquiry or soft pull. There are also personal credit inquiries.

Applying for credit or doing something that requires a credit check, such as applying for phone service, renting, or possibly taking a job, triggers a hard pull. Establishing business credit for the first time will do this. A hard inquiry reduces your credit score by up to five points, albeit usually for a short time. Sometimes multiple inquiries within a short period, such as looking for the best rates for auto insurance or a mortgage over 30 days, counts as only a single hard inquiry. Be cautious about multiple hard pulls in a short time, though. Lenders can see hard inquiries on your report and tend to interpret this behavior as high risk.

When you receive a pre-approved credit offer, chances are there was a soft inquiry on your credit report. Businesses use these to know your credit score for promotional information, as do banks and lenders to review your account to see if you qualify for new offers. These usually happen without your knowledge, though you can see them on your personal credit score. Fortunately, others cannot see them and they have no effect on your credit score. In addition, although applying for rent usually triggers a hard pull, renters can sometimes request a soft pull themselves to be sent to their landlord to avoid a hard pull. You can call us for more information about requesting a soft pull as a renter.

A personal credit inquiry is how you see all the information about your credit report. Your credit score and all inquiries, hard and soft, are visible to you at any time, and you can request your report for free once per 12 months at https://www.annualcreditreport.com/index.action. This is a good idea before applying for credit and also periodically to make sure it’s accurate and up to date. Visit the credit reporting agency’s website if you encounter an error.

More: https://www.sba.gov/blogs/credit-inquiries-what-you-should-know-about-hard-and-soft-pulls

COVID-19: A boon for the rural real estate market?

As we recover from COVID-19, experts are saying it may benefit the rural real estate market. California Association of Realtors deputy chief economist Jordan Levine explains why. Levine notes that rural housing is generally more affordable, which may become one of the most important decision factors as people are recovering from temporary unemployment and business losses. In addition, more and more businesses are looking at a work-from-home model, which will enable employees to live away from urban commercial centers and not have to commute long distance to work.

Real estate personnel working in rural areas seem to agree. Cindy Young, president of Shasta Association of Realtors, predicted an increase in business since their first virtual meeting after the stay-at-home order. Real estate agent Sandy Dole, who works in Shasta County, didn’t experience any drop at all and is actually on pace to surpass last year.

Despite all this, the outbreak did mean California’s market overall experienced its worst month-to-month decline in over forty years. The crisis isn’t over, even in rural areas like Shasta County. The overall market is expected to be sluggish for the next couple of months, with no solid predictions beyond then. Market declines invariably mean lower prices, at least in some areas, while others perform better. 

If you’re thinking of buying or selling, and are looking for a good price on a comfortable rural home, send us a note on our contact form, or give us a call.  We are active agents throughout California.  At the moment, we are seeing some very attractive properties in Ventura and San Diego counties.

Photo by Karol Kaczorek on Unsplash (cropped)